The Llanidloes professor whose modelling led to the first coronavirus lockdown has warned that another may be needed in England in January.

Professor Neil Ferguson, whose modelling led to the original lockdown in March, has suggested a third national lockdown may need to be more stringent than the second.

He told BBC Radio 4’s World At One programme: “The concern I have right now is that in the East of England, for instance, case numbers were rising during the last lockdown, so there may be a need for additional controls beyond even what were in place then.”

The R estimate for England has increased compared to last week and is between 1.1 and 1.3, Sage said.

Experts advising the Government have revealed all NHS England regions have R estimates that are above or span 1, suggesting the epidemic is growing in much of the country.